Ebook , by Robert D. Kaplan
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, by Robert D. Kaplan
Ebook , by Robert D. Kaplan
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Product details
File Size: 3301 KB
Print Length: 385 pages
Publisher: Vintage; Reprint edition (November 12, 2014)
Publication Date: November 12, 2014
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC
Language: English
ASIN: B00OWWOLA2
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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#807,960 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)
Kaplan takes us where most have never been or dreamed of going, but these are pivotal states and regions with tons of history. Trying to get your head around the power vectors of Persia, the Ottoman Empire, the Rise & Fall of the USSR and the ethnic forces from the Mediterranean to the deserts and mountains of Central Asia is mind boggling, but Kaplan sorts it on the ground and up front and personal. Never has a region so distant and unknown been so critical to history in the making. This is one of my favorite Kaplan books since the balance between travel road-a-logue and geo-political analysis is just about right. The only thing better is reading this and Kaplan's To the Ends of the Earth which covers some of the same territory, but with a wider scope. Read and learn! You'll be glad you did and become a more knowledgeable citizen of the world.
Like most Kaplan books, starts off interesting, ends strong, and we learn a fair bit along the way. Enjoyable and not very demanding a read. Might have been better as two books, to give more depth and detail to each country - especially the people. Good interviews, but little depth to them. I didn’t get a sense of the people he spoke to, though their statements were clear enough.
I first encountered Kaplan in his absorbing article on instability of Pakistan in the September 2000 Atlantic magazine. He warned then that the Taliban activities in Afghanistan were having a dangerously destabilizing effect on Pakistan and American foreign policy seemed to be alarmingly indifferent to what that fact could portend for the region and American interests in the middle east.That was 1 full year to the date before 9/11. Remarkably, he was eerily prescient. He has a habit of being so.When Kaplan travelled the Balkans in the late 80's, he foresaw the region lumbering toward war while the US and Europe seemed unwilling or unable to do anything meaningful but watch uneasily. Within a year of the publication his Balkan Ghosts, war broke out and occupied NATO forces and resources for several years before relative peace arose. Indeed, Clinton's reading of Balkan Ghosts has been rumored to have persuaded him that the US had to intervene.Kaplan's Eastward to Tartary covers what he referred to as "the new near east": the region east of the newly expanded NATO borders, west of China, and south of Russia. Why did he focus on this region? Because 70% of the then-known oil reserves and 40% of the then-known nat gas reserves were located in the region. That makes the region inherently important to all powerful nations who need a secure source of energy, including the US, Europe, China, and India. Combine that with the fact that 50% of the population of the entire region was then under 14, and that there were negligible education, growth, and employment opportunities for the young in those same nations, you have the recipe for volatility that is difficult if not impossible to control. The unemployed young have no loyalty to the regimes therein, at the same time democratic reform is inevitable. That in turn signalled that bottom-up revolutions would topple reliable despots in the region on whom the US has depended for 60 years to secure access to oil while at the same time the Iranian revolution in 1978 proved that democratizaing alone need not result in western-friendly nations.Kaplan predicted that the instability would run for 10 - 15 years. I write this review on the eve of Egypt's successful (at least temporarily) revolution. We know now in 2011 how prescient Kaplan was in 2000 and he merits reading and re-reading because we are not through this unstable period yet. I urge readers of this very current review to read the book to know how to assess whether the US policy is effective, but if you can't read the book, listen to Kaplan's presentation to the School of Advanced Military Studies at the Command and General Staff School, where American field grade officers are groomed for generalships. It can be found on C-SPAN's archives site under Kaplan's name and the title of the book.
One of the sad shortcomings of American society is that it has produced generations of illiterates when it comes to an understanding of the complexity of the world. When given a choice between watching some "reality" show versus reading about significant world events that can affect our lives, millions will chose who gets voted off the island versus understanding why Sept 11, 2001 happened. Kaplan digs deep into the real world, but would never reach the recognition rate of a tart who became famous for her disappearing cigar trick and became a "star" on her own "reality" show.What sets Kaplan apart from many of his fellow journalists is his hard work and sacrifice to get the story, enduring a lot of hardship to get to the real world as we never see it, and seldom read about. And his story is about the future of mankind instead of tabloid titillation which dominates the news, but is really the toilet paper of history.As someone who has traveled in many of the countries where Kaplan has developed his stories, I find his insightful observations and conversations with the real folk to put into perspective the superficial observations I have made, or read about from journalists who get the story from the comfort of their hotel rooms without ever getting their fingernails dirty. Even worse, his fellow journalists show up with their story already written and go home as soon as it is "verified" by talking to some propagandist, functionary, or peasant who fits their purposes.This is another very good book about the real world, including the vast disparity in the development of areas and peoples whose ancestors were the subjects of Marco Polo's travelogue.Americans can be very naive about the world, which is not surprising given the pitifully politically correct versions of history taught in all levels of schools today, but Kaplan has been there and experienced the world, with all its warts, and does a great job of putting it all into perspective. Like Polo's second excursion to Cathay, he went north and met the descendents of the same people who live in a world far closer to Polo's than the one we know today, seven hundred years later.While some of the events and people are changed from the book, it is a great book to understand the complexity of the forces dictating world events today in a very dangerous part of the world, the breeding grounds of the next phase of world conflict.
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